Main.ConjunctionFallacy History
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!Conjunction Fallacy
Examine the following personality sketch:
@@@Bill is 34 years old. He is intelligent, but unimaginative, compulsive and generally lifeless. In school, he was strong in mathematics but weak in social studies and humanities.@@@
Which statement is more probable:
# Bill is an accountant that plays jazz for a hobby, or
# Bill plays jazz for a hobby?
[- From http://www.dcs.qmul.ac.uk/~norman/BBNs/Conjunction_Fallacy.htm 2006.08.15 -]
[[Category.Mind]]